Monte Carlo
Prediction market Risk Simulator for
Bodega Market
Preset
Run it!
Risk & Volume
Seed Capital (Max Loss Cap, ADA)
Total Volume Target (ADA)
Monte Carlo Trials
Trading Flow & Dynamics
Adjust trading parameters
Avg Trade Size (ADA)
Trade Size Std
Sell Probability
Baseline YES Bias
Mean-Revert Strength
True Outcome Prob (YES)
Fees & Stress Testing
Adjust fees and stress test outcomes
Total Trade Fee
Creator Fee Share
Force Final YES Price (optional)
